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Red89
22325.2
540425.2
125721.7
Blue69
511327.5
1125.1
694310.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73653040506080901001108969

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#41
25.21.3
24.826.2
Auto5.4
Teleop16.2
End3.6
blue by 2.3
5113
#13
27.50.6
27.727.1
Auto5.3
Teleop16.5
End5.7
Second
5404
#20
25.21.3
23.825.1
Auto5.3
Teleop12.1
End7.8
red by 0.1
11
#42
25.10.6
23.723.1
Auto4.0
Teleop18.1
End3.1
Third
1257
#29
21.71.3
20.221.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End5.9
red by 11.1
6943
#60
10.60.6
10.59.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
90%HAB Docking oddsEarned41%HAB Docking oddsMissed