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Red38
303926.1
74307.7
Blue36
192710.9
375311.9
394616.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242253035455055603836

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.7
red by 9.6
3946
#22
16.50.0
16.516.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End4.6
Second
7430
#19
7.70.0
7.77.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End0.1
blue by 4.2
3753
#14
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.5
End4.7
Third
6.00.0
6.06.0
Auto1.4
Teleop2.2
End2.3
blue by 4.9
1927
#23
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking odds42%HAB Docking odds