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Red47
375311.9
3039B13.1
433622.5
Blue68
399114.5
191218.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504402060801004768

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.4
End5.1
red by 3.6
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End5.6
Second
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto2.3
Teleop7.9
End2.8
blue by 1.4
3991
#21
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Third
3753
#14
11.90.0
11.911.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.5
End4.7
red by 3.5
8.40.0
8.48.4
Auto1.8
Teleop3.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking odds27%HAB Docking odds