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Red58
45623.5
433622.5
218316.8
Blue82
303926.1
74307.7
142127.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66653040506080901001105882

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#15
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End7.7
blue by 4.4
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto4.6
Teleop17.1
End6.2
Second
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.4
End5.1
blue by 3.6
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.7
Third
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End5.5
red by 9.1
7430
#19
7.70.0
7.77.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket odds8%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking odds47%HAB Docking odds