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Red34
682920.9
45623.5
Blue54
208016.9
2992B11.3
3039B13.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5644020801003454

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#15
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End7.7
red by 6.6
2080
#11
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End4.4
Second
6829
#10
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End3.7
red by 7.9
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto2.3
Teleop7.9
End2.8
Third
8.40.0
8.48.4
Auto1.8
Teleop3.9
End2.7
blue by 2.9
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds4%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking odds53%HAB Docking odds