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Red40
594020.9
973B13.3
348215.6
Blue45
330312.8
646517.1
29916.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51503540455560654045

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#14
20.90.5
17.617.0
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End3.8
red by 3.9
6465
#35
17.10.2
17.717.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.3
End3.7
Second
3482
#44
15.60.5
15.414.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.6
End4.0
blue by 1.1
299
#11
16.70.2
14.914.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End4.3
Third
973B
#30
13.30.9
15.314.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End3.0
red by 0.5
3303
#45
12.80.2
15.014.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed