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Red50
213512.8
84115.2
348215.6
Blue84
207328.0
385925.7
545820.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467602040601001205084

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3482
#44
15.60.4
15.515.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.6
End4.0
blue by 12.4
2073
#18
28.00.4
26.727.2
Auto3.2
Teleop20.7
End4.0
Second
841
#32
15.20.4
15.716.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End3.2
blue by 10.5
25.70.4
24.625.0
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End5.3
Third
2135
#40
12.80.4
12.613.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.4
End3.9
blue by 7.5
5458
#21
20.30.4
20.320.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed30%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsEarned