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Red120
510418.2
29916.7
Blue48
1671B12.9
469821.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4447020608010012012048

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#22
18.20.1
17.417.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.8
End2.7
blue by 3.2
4698
#33
21.40.2
23.023.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.2
End4.6
Second
299
#11
16.70.1
14.814.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.5
End4.3
red by 3.8
12.91.1
12.911.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End4.3
Third
7.91.1
7.98.9
Auto1.5
Teleop3.1
End3.2
red by 0.6
7.23.0
7.210.3
Auto3.5
Teleop1.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed