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Red48
348017.7
664721.6
47316.9
Blue34
463520.7
347212.9
775310.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494835404555604834

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.0
21.721.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End5.2
red by 0.9
4635
#20
20.70.2
21.020.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End4.4
Second
3480
#10
17.70.0
17.817.8
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End3.6
red by 4.8
12.90.3
13.212.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End3.3
Third
4731
#22
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto1.0
Teleop3.5
End2.3
blue by 3.9
7753
#12
10.70.3
11.010.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End1.0