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Red38
379411.1
47316.9
393321.5
Blue20
401010.5
541211.9
66068.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40261020305060703820

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.0
18.718.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.4
End5.2
red by 9.5
5412
#19
11.90.5
9.28.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End2.8
Second
3794
#21
11.10.0
11.211.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End3.3
red by 0.6
4010
#23
10.50.3
6.46.1
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End0.9
Third
4731
#22
6.90.0
7.98.0
Auto1.0
Teleop3.5
End2.3
blue by 1.2
6606
#15
8.10.5
9.48.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed