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Red43
348017.7
775310.7
352712.0
Blue32
767812.2
347212.9
379411.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353301020405060704332

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3480
#10
17.70.7
17.017.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End3.6
red by 4.8
12.90.1
10.210.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.5
End3.3
Second
3527
#17
12.01.1
8.79.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.7
blue by 0.2
7678
#24
12.20.1
9.59.6
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End1.8
Third
7753
#12
10.71.1
7.18.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.7
End1.0
blue by 0.4
3794
#21
11.10.1
11.211.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed