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Red46
352221.4
594811.2
775210.8
Blue38
347826.6
440113.3
47316.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434425303540505560654638

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.3
20.720.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End7.6
blue by 5.2
26.60.3
21.521.3
Auto3.2
Teleop16.0
End7.4
Second
11.20.2
9.39.5
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End2.0
blue by 2.1
4401
#25
13.30.4
12.211.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End3.8
Third
7752
#18
10.80.3
10.310.6
Auto1.3
Teleop5.9
End3.6
red by 3.9
4731
#22
6.90.4
8.27.8
Auto1.0
Teleop3.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed