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Red45
437111.3
66068.1
393321.5
Blue38
664721.6
767812.2
534412.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39450102030506070804538

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.6
20.120.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.4
End5.2
blue by 0.2
21.60.3
20.320.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End5.2
Second
4371
#13
11.30.8
10.110.9
Auto1.6
Teleop5.6
End4.0
blue by 1.6
5344
#14
12.80.4
12.211.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End3.5
Third
6606
#15
8.10.8
6.37.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End2.2
blue by 4.1
7678
#24
12.20.4
10.09.6
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed