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Red27
47316.9
767812.2
477520.0
Blue3
440113.3
534412.8
58876.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3936010203050607080273

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.7
16.816.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.1
End5.1
red by 6.6
4401
#25
13.33.5
13.710.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End3.8
Second
7678
#24
12.23.2
12.29.0
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End1.8
blue by 0.7
5344
#14
12.83.5
9.15.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.0
End3.5
Third
4731
#22
6.91.1
9.98.8
Auto1.0
Teleop3.5
End2.3
red by 0.6
5887
#27
6.33.5
11.78.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed