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Red61
440113.3
716114.9
571615.6
Blue50
228318.2
335415.3
767812.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424702060806150

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5716
#26
15.60.6
14.214.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.0
End2.9
blue by 2.7
2283
#16
18.20.1
17.918.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End4.3
Second
7161
#11
14.90.5
13.614.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End3.2
blue by 0.4
15.30.1
15.015.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End4.3
Third
4401
#25
13.30.5
12.112.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End3.8
red by 1.2
7678
#24
12.20.1
11.811.9
Auto2.3
Teleop8.1
End1.8