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Red55
463521.5
347821.1
644412.9
Blue51
664718.2
348017.5
75469.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594730407080905551

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End4.2
red by 3.3
6647
#16
18.20.1
18.118.2
Auto4.2
Teleop10.1
End3.9
Second
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End5.4
red by 3.5
17.50.1
17.517.5
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End4.4
Third
6444
#23
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End2.7
red by 3.5
7546
#40
9.40.1
9.49.4
Auto4.3
Teleop2.0
End3.1