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Red47
348017.5
617012.1
669414.4
Blue49
440018.9
458414.3
774012.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31280102040506070804749

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.51.6
12.013.7
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End4.4
blue by 1.4
18.92.5
10.412.9
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End3.9
Second
14.41.6
8.29.9
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End3.2
red by 0.2
14.32.5
9.411.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.5
End2.2
Third
6170
#29
12.11.6
8.910.6
Auto2.7
Teleop7.1
End2.3
blue by 0.1
12.22.5
6.89.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed