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Red24
440018.9
40106.5
61567.8
Blue35
644412.9
634810.9
620010.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3331102040502435

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.8
12.912.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End3.9
red by 6.0
6444
#23
12.90.6
9.810.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Second
6156
#41
7.80.8
9.68.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.4
blue by 3.2
6348
#12
10.90.6
9.19.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.5
Third
4010
#22
6.50.8
8.57.7
Auto1.5
Teleop4.4
End0.6
blue by 4.2
6200
#30
10.70.6
10.811.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed