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Red36
66766.6
531216.1
610614.6
Blue28
664718.2
60106.7
620010.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364110203050603628

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5312
#10
16.10.2
11.812.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End3.4
blue by 2.1
6647
#16
18.21.2
14.613.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.1
End3.9
Second
6106
#17
14.60.2
12.212.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.0
red by 3.9
6200
#30
10.71.2
13.412.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.6
End1.0
Third
6676
#26
6.60.2
10.310.5
Auto1.4
Teleop1.8
End3.4
blue by 0.1
6010
#38
6.71.2
10.59.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed