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Red49
669414.4
393317.5
347821.1
Blue12
59599.6
66665.2
66529.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4726102030405060704912

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.5
17.217.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End5.4
red by 11.5
5959
#31
9.61.4
10.59.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Second
3933
#11
17.50.5
14.915.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 8.5
6652
#27
9.01.4
6.95.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.0
End0.7
Third
14.40.5
12.412.9
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End3.2
red by 9.3
6666
#36
5.21.4
7.35.9
Auto1.1
Teleop2.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed