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Red30
670211.2
477518.1
51337.7
Blue46
393317.5
774012.2
634810.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373910203050603046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.10.6
15.815.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End3.7
red by 0.6
3933
#11
17.51.0
15.416.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Second
6702
#28
11.20.6
12.411.9
Auto5.1
Teleop2.9
End3.2
blue by 0.9
12.21.0
10.211.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End3.1
Third
5133
#39
7.70.6
6.86.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End1.8
blue by 3.2
6348
#12
10.91.0
11.012.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed