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Red35
634810.9
75469.4
664718.2
Blue40
463521.5
43558.4
458414.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38402530354550553540

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#16
18.20.1
16.516.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.1
End3.9
blue by 3.3
21.50.3
18.819.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End4.2
Second
6348
#12
10.90.1
12.011.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End2.5
blue by 3.3
14.30.3
12.212.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.5
End2.2
Third
7546
#40
9.40.1
7.47.3
Auto4.3
Teleop2.0
End3.1
red by 1.1
4355
#43
8.40.3
6.56.7
Auto1.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed