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Red40
63198.9
35107.2
315822.2
Blue48
594810.1
348017.5
729911.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373402060804048

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.4
20.420.8
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End2.4
red by 4.6
17.51.5
15.216.7
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End4.4
Second
6319
#19
8.90.5
7.58.0
Auto4.2
Teleop2.8
End1.9
blue by 2.6
7299
#21
11.51.4
10.111.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End3.2
Third
3510
#24
7.20.4
7.27.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End1.8
blue by 2.8
5948
#34
10.11.5
7.38.8
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed