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Red38
63198.9
51337.7
669414.4
Blue36
43558.4
710211.1
75469.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302701020405060703836

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.40.8
13.714.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End3.2
red by 3.4
7102
#32
11.11.0
10.211.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Second
6319
#19
8.90.9
8.08.9
Auto4.2
Teleop2.8
End1.9
blue by 0.5
7546
#40
9.41.0
7.58.6
Auto4.3
Teleop2.0
End3.1
Third
5133
#39
7.70.9
6.87.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End1.8
blue by 0.6
4355
#43
8.41.0
7.48.4
Auto1.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed