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Red73
463521.5
347821.1
644412.9
Blue61
440018.9
315822.2
66529.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56522040801007361

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.4
20.821.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End4.2
blue by 0.7
22.20.3
21.822.2
Auto6.3
Teleop13.5
End2.4
Second
21.10.4
20.520.9
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End5.4
red by 2.1
18.90.3
18.618.9
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End3.9
Third
6444
#23
12.90.5
12.212.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End2.7
red by 3.9
6652
#27
9.00.4
8.69.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.0
End0.7