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Red41
648310.1
689614.6
347214.2
Blue20
75774.7
440317.4
570512.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333501020405060704120

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.60.5
9.49.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End2.5
blue by 2.8
17.40.9
12.311.4
Auto4.4
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Second
3472
#18
14.20.5
12.312.7
Auto2.7
Teleop8.7
End2.8
red by 1.3
5705
#15
12.91.5
12.711.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End3.1
Third
6483
#23
10.10.8
9.410.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.7
red by 5.4
7577
#36
4.71.5
8.57.0
Auto0.8
Teleop1.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed