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Red21
689614.6
742113.1
76999.5
Blue12
617014.6
70186.3
76699.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29380102050602112

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.60.6
8.27.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Level
6170
#13
14.62.2
12.19.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Second
7421
#24
13.10.6
9.58.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.3
red by 3.9
7669
#35
9.32.2
9.37.1
Auto1.8
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Third
7699
#31
9.50.2
9.59.3
Auto1.8
Teleop5.5
End2.2
red by 3.2
7018
#33
6.33.0
13.810.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed