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Red41
58879.2
534413.1
440018.5
Blue15
76699.3
660814.9
61996.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41340102030506070804115

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#12
18.50.1
20.220.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End3.5
red by 3.6
6608
#17
14.91.9
14.512.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End2.0
Second
13.10.1
11.411.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End2.4
red by 3.8
7669
#35
9.31.9
8.46.4
Auto1.8
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Third
5887
#29
9.20.1
7.77.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End1.7
red by 2.9
6199
#28
6.21.9
9.57.6
Auto1.4
Teleop4.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed