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Red27
76999.5
648310.1
716116.6
Blue50
440119.1
601716.4
620016.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35452030405060702750

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7161
#21
16.60.4
14.313.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End2.6
blue by 2.5
19.10.5
15.515.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End5.6
Second
6483
#23
10.10.7
10.19.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.7
blue by 6.5
16.70.5
13.413.9
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0
Third
7699
#31
9.50.7
9.08.3
Auto1.8
Teleop5.5
End2.2
blue by 6.8
6017
#10
16.40.5
13.914.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed