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Red41
765313.6
696511.7
440018.5
Blue59
473513.8
601716.4
440317.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424020305060704159

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#12
18.50.1
18.818.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End3.5
red by 1.1
17.40.8
13.013.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Second
7653
#14
13.60.1
11.311.4
Auto2.3
Teleop8.7
End2.6
blue by 2.7
6017
#10
16.40.8
14.415.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End2.7
Third
6965
#34
11.70.1
10.110.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End3.2
blue by 2.1
13.80.8
10.211.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed5%HAB Docking oddsMissed