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Red33
70379.2
76699.3
460321.0
Blue60
617014.6
689614.6
772515.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343420253040455055603360

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4603
#16
21.00.1
19.919.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End2.2
red by 5.2
7725
#20
15.81.9
9.811.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End2.8
Second
7669
#35
9.30.1
6.46.5
Auto1.8
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 5.3
14.61.9
10.712.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Third
7037
#32
9.20.1
5.85.9
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End3.7
blue by 5.4
6170
#13
14.61.9
11.313.2
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed5%HAB Docking oddsMissed