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Red21
352613.7
477524.7
61996.2
Blue22
534413.1
620016.7
648310.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443802060802122

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.4
20.018.6
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End7.2
red by 8.0
16.71.4
10.79.4
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0
Second
3526
#26
13.71.7
10.18.4
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End1.7
red by 0.6
13.11.2
12.811.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Third
6199
#28
6.22.3
11.99.5
Auto1.4
Teleop4.1
End0.8
blue by 3.9
6483
#23
10.11.8
12.010.2
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed