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Red53
617014.6
552613.8
664724.6
Blue25
742113.1
696511.7
534413.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503702060805325

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.2
23.023.2
Auto4.0
Teleop15.1
End5.5
red by 11.4
7421
#24
13.10.7
12.211.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End2.3
Second
6170
#13
14.60.2
13.213.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.8
red by 1.5
13.10.7
12.611.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Third
5526
#30
13.80.2
11.111.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End2.9
red by 2.1
6965
#34
11.71.1
10.29.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed