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Red45
477524.7
75774.7
601716.4
Blue44
435513.2
460321.0
552613.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424720305060704544

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.4
21.521.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End7.2
red by 3.7
4603
#16
21.00.0
20.220.2
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End2.2
Second
6017
#10
16.40.4
15.115.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End2.7
red by 2.6
5526
#30
13.80.0
11.010.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End2.9
Third
7577
#36
4.70.5
3.13.6
Auto0.8
Teleop1.1
End2.9
blue by 8.5
4355
#22
13.20.0
13.513.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed