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Red51
620016.7
440018.5
660814.9
Blue30
70186.3
435513.2
689614.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5136102030406070805130

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#12
18.50.5
18.317.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.6
End3.5
red by 3.9
14.60.3
14.113.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Second
16.70.5
15.415.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0
red by 3.4
4355
#22
13.20.3
13.413.2
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End3.4
Third
6608
#17
14.90.6
14.313.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End2.0
red by 8.6
7018
#33
6.30.3
6.35.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed