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Red40
460321.0
617014.6
70409.0
Blue37
570512.9
347214.2
58879.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483710203060704037

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4603
#16
21.00.3
20.420.1
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End2.2
red by 6.7
3472
#18
14.20.1
14.214.3
Auto2.7
Teleop8.7
End2.8
Second
6170
#13
14.60.3
15.114.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.8
red by 1.7
5705
#15
12.90.1
13.013.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End3.1
Third
7040
#25
9.00.4
9.49.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.3
End1.8
blue by 0.1
5887
#29
9.20.1
8.28.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
5%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed