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Red80
463522.2
477524.7
772515.8
Blue69
440119.1
620016.7
552613.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63512030407080908069

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.5
23.624.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End7.2
red by 5.6
19.10.5
18.619.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.4
End5.6
Second
4635
#19
22.20.5
21.121.5
Auto3.9
Teleop15.5
End2.8
red by 5.5
16.70.5
16.216.7
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0
Third
7725
#20
15.80.5
14.715.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End2.8
red by 2.0
5526
#30
13.80.5
13.313.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End2.9