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Red74
350618.5
650219.1
493515.7
Blue57
90014.9
456125.6
744313.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53603040507080907457

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.5
18.218.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End2.9
blue by 6.5
25.60.2
26.526.3
Auto5.9
Teleop13.7
End5.9
Second
3506
#17
18.50.5
17.618.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End4.5
red by 3.5
900
#27
14.90.2
15.915.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End4.0
Third
4935
#14
15.70.5
14.815.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End4.5
red by 2.6
7443
#15
13.00.2
14.013.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End3.4