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Red65
322923.9
482817.0
551813.4
Blue68
58718.4
789018.7
345912.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56512040806568

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.3
23.623.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.9
red by 5.2
18.70.5
18.218.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End6.7
Second
17.00.3
16.817.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End7.5
blue by 1.4
587
#11
18.40.4
18.018.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End3.2
Third
5518
#25
13.40.3
13.113.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End2.7
red by 1.1
3459
#21
12.20.4
11.812.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.5
End6.5