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Red60
36618.5
58718.4
482817.0
Blue56
572715.6
693214.6
264014.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393702060801006056

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#11
18.41.6
15.216.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End3.2
red by 2.8
5727
#13
15.61.4
11.012.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End3.3
Second
17.01.6
10.912.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End7.5
red by 2.4
6932
#31
14.61.4
13.114.4
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Third
3661
#30
8.52.6
10.613.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End2.5
blue by 6.0
2640
#22
14.51.4
11.212.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsEarned36%HAB Docking oddsEarned