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Red41
493515.7
690816.1
650219.1
Blue69
789018.7
567911.4
322923.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5153204060801004169

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.5
17.216.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End2.9
blue by 4.8
23.90.9
22.723.6
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.9
Second
6908
#19
16.10.5
16.716.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End4.1
blue by 2.6
18.71.4
17.618.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End6.7
Third
4935
#14
15.70.5
14.013.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End4.5
red by 4.3
5679
#16
11.40.9
9.410.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned