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Red64
322923.9
265528.8
345912.2
Blue73
789018.7
153323.3
58718.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67643040506080901006473

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.4
28.027.6
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End6.1
red by 5.5
1533
#10
23.30.4
23.022.6
Auto3.8
Teleop15.5
End4.0
Second
23.90.4
24.023.6
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End4.9
red by 5.2
18.70.6
18.918.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End6.7
Third
3459
#21
12.20.4
11.911.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.5
End6.5
blue by 6.2
587
#11
18.40.4
18.518.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned53%HAB Docking oddsMissed