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Red63
650219.1
519027.4
633211.7
Blue55
350618.5
744313.0
264014.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5445203040506070806355

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.4
23.323.7
Auto3.6
Teleop16.7
End7.1
red by 8.9
3506
#17
18.50.8
16.617.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End4.5
Second
19.10.4
16.717.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End2.9
red by 4.6
2640
#22
14.50.8
12.413.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End4.1
Third
6332
#26
11.70.4
10.911.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End3.9
blue by 1.3
7443
#15
13.01.1
13.915.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned36%HAB Docking oddsMissed