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Red49
429017.6
345912.2
551813.4
Blue78
368019.6
482817.0
265528.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4265203050607080904978

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.60.6
16.717.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End2.7
blue by 11.3
28.81.1
27.628.7
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End6.1
Second
5518
#25
13.40.6
11.612.2
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End2.7
blue by 6.2
3680
#12
19.61.1
18.019.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Third
3459
#21
12.20.6
11.612.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.5
End6.5
blue by 4.8
17.01.1
15.716.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned50%HAB Docking oddsEarned