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Red33
663914.6
36618.5
456125.6
Blue46
572715.6
493515.7
744313.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584720304070803346

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.7
28.226.5
Auto5.9
Teleop13.7
End5.9
red by 9.9
4935
#14
15.70.3
15.114.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End4.5
Second
6639
#23
14.61.9
16.514.6
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End3.4
blue by 1.0
5727
#13
15.60.3
15.415.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End3.3
Third
3661
#30
8.51.9
10.48.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End2.5
blue by 4.5
7443
#15
13.00.4
14.314.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed