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Red80
265528.8
519027.4
264014.5
Blue57
350618.5
650219.1
493515.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7155204060801008057

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.3
27.828.1
Auto3.8
Teleop18.9
End6.1
red by 9.7
19.10.1
18.818.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End2.9
Second
27.40.3
26.326.6
Auto3.6
Teleop16.7
End7.1
red by 8.9
3506
#17
18.50.1
18.218.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End4.5
Third
2640
#22
14.50.3
13.513.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End4.1
blue by 1.1
4935
#14
15.70.1
15.415.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End4.5