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Red72
268223.6
429114.2
519032.0
Blue79
551126.7
776320.7
265526.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667240506080901007279

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.4
28.829.2
Auto3.0
Teleop20.8
End8.2
red by 5.3
5511
#11
26.70.7
24.825.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End8.9
Second
2682
#20
23.60.4
21.221.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End4.2
blue by 3.1
2655
#19
26.70.7
27.628.3
Auto3.6
Teleop16.9
End6.1
Third
4291
#26
14.20.4
13.013.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End3.5
blue by 6.6
7763
#18
20.70.7
15.816.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned82%HAB Docking oddsEarned