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Red76
264227.0
429020.0
264018.7
Blue33
744313.5
493514.3
268223.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565402040801001207633

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.01.5
22.724.3
Auto5.4
Teleop14.8
End6.8
red by 3.4
2682
#20
23.61.2
22.421.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.9
End4.2
Second
4290
#16
20.01.5
16.317.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.5
End3.8
red by 5.7
4935
#31
14.31.2
14.713.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.4
End1.7
Third
2640
#10
18.71.5
13.915.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End7.8
red by 5.2
7443
#32
13.51.2
14.012.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed