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Red65
560716.3
767122.3
650021.6
Blue86
650223.2
519032.0
345915.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5766304050607080906586

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7671
#30
22.30.8
19.520.2
Auto3.2
Teleop15.8
End3.4
blue by 9.6
32.00.7
29.229.9
Auto3.0
Teleop20.8
End8.2
Second
6500
#13
21.60.8
16.917.7
Auto4.8
Teleop13.9
End2.9
blue by 1.7
6502
#15
23.20.7
20.521.1
Auto4.1
Teleop17.3
End1.8
Third
5607
#29
16.30.8
17.117.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End4.1
red by 1.3
15.10.7
13.314.0
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed61%HAB Docking oddsEarned