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Red62
493514.3
322921.4
319626.8
Blue70
650021.6
264018.7
776320.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69562040801006270

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.2
27.126.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End8.9
red by 5.2
6500
#13
21.60.7
18.018.7
Auto4.8
Teleop13.9
End2.9
Second
3229
#24
21.40.2
23.723.5
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End4.0
red by 0.6
7763
#18
20.70.7
18.519.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End4.9
Third
4935
#31
14.30.2
14.113.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 4.4
2640
#10
18.70.7
16.817.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
85%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsEarned